1. Full name:     Vu Thanh Huong                                    2. Sex: Female

3. Date of birth: 25 May 1977                                         4. Place of birth: Hanoi

5. Admission decision number: Decision No. 2224/QĐ-ĐHKT dated 03/11/2011

6. Changes in academic process

Change of thesis title

The previous title: The potential impact of the Vietnam - EU Free Trade Agreement on bilateral trade relation according to Decision No. 330/ QĐ-ĐHKT dated 22/02/2012.

The adjusted title: The Vietnam - EU Free Trade Agreement: impacts on bilateral trade in goods and implications for Vietnam according to Decision No. 2863/ QĐ-ĐHKT dated 03/07/2015.

7. Official thesis title

The Vietnam - EU Free Trade Agreement: impacts on bilateral trade in goods and implications for Vietnam

8. Major: International Economics                                               9. Code: 62 31 01 06

10. Supervisors:           

Key supervisor: Dr. Doan Hong Quang

Co-supervisor: Assoc. Prof. Tu Thuy Anh

11. Summary of the new findings of the thesis

The thesis has new theoretical and practical findings and contributions.

In terms of theoretical aspect, the thesis developed a Diagnostic Framework of EVFTA's potential impacts based on international economic theories, FTA-related theories and experimental studies on impacts of FTAs. This Impact Diagnosing Framework can be applied to assess the potential impact of other FTAs ​​Vietnam is negotiating or has signed but not yet effective.

In terms of practical aspect, the thesis analyzed changes in value, proportion, growth rate and pattern of trade between Vietnam and the EU, categorizing groups of products and markets to support Vietnam to design strategies in trading with the EU in the future. The thesis adopted qualitative and quantitative methods (the SMART and gravity model), and different research tools to diagnose and assess both the static and dynamic potential impacts of the EVFTA on overall bilateral trade, trade in eighteen groups of sectors and two types of goods between Vietnam and the EU. On that ground, the thesis pointed out the benefits, opportunities as well as difficulties and challenges of EVFTA to Vietnam, focusing on the opportunities and challenges by market, group of sector, and product including garments and pharmaceuticals and drew out implications for both the Vietnamese government and enterprises.

12. Practical applicability, if any:

The thesis results can be used as a reference for the Ministry of Industry and Trade and Ministry of Planning and Investment in developing strategies, action plans and policies to prepare for the implementation of the EVFTA.

The Vietnamese enterprises can also use the thesis results to build up business strategies in preparation for the integration with the EU, as well as take up opportunities and overcome challenges from the EVFTA in the future.

13. Further research directions, if any

Analyze of the impact of the EVFTA on trade in goods between Vietnam and the EU, using the import demand elasticity, import substitution elasticity and export supply elasticity of the country similar to Vietnam.

Develop a model to assess the impact of both non-tariff and tariff barriers under the EVFTA framework on trade in goods between Vietnam and the EU.

Evaluate the sectoral impact of the EVFTA on Vietnam - EU trade.

Apply the impact diagnostic framework to assess the impact of some other FTAs Vietnam has signed but not yet effective, for example Vietnam - European Asian Economic Union or some FTAs Vietnam is negotiating such as RCEP.

14. Thesis-related publications:

International journal (Indexed by SCIE and SCOPUS)

 Vu Thanh Huong (2016), "Assessing potential impacts of the EVFTA on Vietnam's pharmaceutical imports from the EU: an application of SMART analysis", SpringerPlus 5(1503), DOI: 10.1186/s40064-016-3200-7, pp 1-22.

National journals

Vu Thanh Huong, Nguyen Thi Minh Phuong (2015), "The European – Vietnam Free Trade Agreement: A perspective on challenges and opportunities", The Communist Review 104(8), pp. 117-120.

Vu Thanh Huong, Nguyen Cam Nhung (2015), "Vietnam - Germany trade in context of the European - Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA): Current status and Prospect", The European Studies Journal, 10(181), pp 64-74.

Vu Thanh Hương, Nguyen Thi Minh Phuong (2015), "Impact assessment of the European-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement: using trade indicators", VNU Journal of Science, Economics and Business, 32(3), pp. 28-38.

International conferences, books and reports

Baker Paul et al (2014), Sustainable impact assessment EU - Vietnam FTA, MUTRAP Activity Code EU-2, available at http://mutrap.org.vn/index.php/en/library/technical-reports/finish/13/1108.

Vu Thanh Hương (2015), "Possibility to bring about economic benefits of EVFTA and implications for Vietnamese enterprises", International Conference Proceeding Emerging Challenges: Managing to Success - ICECH 2015, Hanoi, 12/11/2015, ISBN: 978-604-938-723-4, pp. 12-23.

Vu Thanh Huong, Nguyen Thi Minh Phuong (2015), "The European – Vietnam Free Trade Agreement: Opportunities parallel with Challenges ", In: Nguyen Anh Thu & A. Stoffers (Eds.) Prospective for Vietnam and Germany in the context of ASEAN and EU economic integration, Knowledge Publishing House, Hanoi, pp. 71-82.

Vu Thanh Huong, Nguyen Cam Nhung (2015), "Vietnam and German trade: Past, Present and Future", In: Nguyen Anh Thu & A. Stoffers (Eds.) Prospective for Vietnam and Germany in the context of ASEAN and EU economic integration, Knowledge Publishing House, Hanoi, pp. 83-85.

Vu Thanh Huong (2016), "The European-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement and Opportunities for Vietnam's SMEs to enhance exports to the EU", International Conference Proceeding Emerging Challenges: Partnership Enhancement - ICECH 2016, Hanoi, 11/11/2016, ISBN: 978-604-93-8961-0, pp. 17-27.

Vu Thanh Huong, Pham Minh Tuyet (2016), "Assessing impacts of the EVFTA on Vietnam's imports of automobiles from the EU: A SMART model approach", International Conference Summaries Việt Nam học, Hanoi 15/12/2016. Paper number: VS5.087P